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WMA · SENTIMENT MONITORRetail investor sentimentSelected public sources · exploratory editorial indexLast source review: · Warsaw time65Optimistic0–100 · index pointsLimited coverageReview is recentOpen evidence and methodologyClose details

The reviewed posts and trading reports show dip-buying appetite alongside valuation, AI-bubble and interest-rate concerns. Two surveys and a small purposive sample of other sources suggest cautious optimism, rather than a representative reading of all investors.

Limited coverage: the surveys cover the US and Poland. Forums comprise 20 English-language statements from 3 Reddit communities, including 10 from r/wallstreetbets. Press includes 5 retail-behavior reports covering the US, Poland, UK, Korea and Japan; some describe earlier periods. Six YouTube titles represent only 3 distinct creator groups, including a professional broadcaster. The October 1 SII reading is 9 days old, and AAII/SII sample sizes remain unverified.

Data cut-off: · Warsaw time

Index points are neither the percentage of bullish investors nor the probability that stocks will rise.

Investor sentiment →

What contributes to the index

Investor surveys

59.3/100

Planned weight
50%
Weight in this reading
50%
Included observations
2
Source groups
2
Excluded observations
0

Public forum sample

70/100

Planned weight
25%
Weight in this reading
25%
Included observations
20
Source groups
3
Excluded observations
0

Press narrative

80/100

Planned weight
15%
Weight in this reading
15%
Included observations
5
Source groups
5
Excluded observations
0

YouTube titles

58.3/100

Planned weight
10%
Weight in this reading
10%
Included observations
6
Source groups
3
Excluded observations
0

Investor surveys

AAII

Included in calculation

United States

Bullish40.3%
Neutral20.8%
Bearish39%
Observation date
7 Oct 2026
Published
8 Oct 2026
Respondents
Sample size not disclosed

Voluntary AAII member survey: six-month expectations. Sample size unverified. Rounded percentages total 100.1%; we normalize their sum to 100% before calculating the score.

Open original source

SII INI

Included in calculation

Poland

Delayed observation · not a current daily reading

Bullish55.4%
Neutral25%
Bearish19.6%
Observation date
1 Oct 2026
Published
Unavailable
Respondents
Sample size not disclosed

Latest publicly verified reading: October 1, nine days before the assessment. A newer expected reading was not verified. Separate publication time and sample size are unknown. Voluntary six-month trend survey.

Open original source

Public forum sample

20
  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Buys a broad global fund while allowing very different future outcomes.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Combines constructive and cautious arguments or makes the outlook conditional.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Combines weak market breadth concerns with hopes for later buying opportunities.

    Published
    9 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    9 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    9 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Combines constructive and cautious arguments or makes the outlook conditional.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Weighs macroeconomic risks against rising company earnings.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Combines constructive and cautious arguments or makes the outlook conditional.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Supports a cautious, bearish broad-market outlook.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: −1 · Cautious / risk reductionOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses a bearish broad-equity view or a stated directional put position.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Expects consolidation followed by another broad-index advance.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Notes technology weakness alongside lower yields and improvement in financials.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Combines constructive and cautious arguments or makes the outlook conditional.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Expects the current session to finish higher.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Briefly favors buying market dips.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/stocksIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/stocks · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Allows for a seasonal pullback followed by a year-end rally.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Combines constructive and cautious arguments or makes the outlook conditional.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Expects a sharp near-term market decline.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: −1 · Cautious / risk reductionOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses a bearish broad-equity view or a stated directional put position.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Expects a recovery after the decline without specifying its timing.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Favors buying broad-market call options after a dip.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Regards the broad market as remaining in an uptrend.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Anticipates a higher open and further gains in SPY.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Sees the market as resilient and favors continued dip buying.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Expresses long-term optimism about equities and buying after declines.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Expects gains across time horizons and rapid buying of dips.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Expresses a hopeful expectation of a higher SPY level next session.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses willingness to take broad-equity risk or expects higher market prices.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/wallstreetbetsIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/wallstreetbets · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    States a near-term SPY put-options position.

    Published
    UnavailableExact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: −1 · Cautious / risk reductionOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Expresses a bearish broad-equity view or a stated directional put position.

    Source limitations: Exact comment day unresolved; the thread title, indexed thread creation date and relative comment age bound it to October 8–9. The thread-date field records the start of that range. Purposive sample; investor status and actual positions unverified.

  • Reddit r/StockMarketIncluded in calculation

    Reddit r/StockMarket · United States / international usersPublic post · self-selected sample

    Notes market resilience while warning about higher-yield pressure.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact post time unavailable; the thread date is not the post time.
    Thread date
    8 Oct 2026
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Combines constructive and cautious arguments or makes the outlook conditional.

    Source limitations: Publication day established, but exact time unavailable. Purposive sample from the default comment order; investor status, positions and market assertions unverified.

Press narrative

5
  • Korean stocks slide 2.6% despite Samsung's record earningIncluded in calculation

    Aju Press · South KoreaRetail behavior evidence

    Aju Press reports net retail purchases of KRW 2.90 tn on KOSPI during a down session, while foreign and institutional investors sold.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026, 10:00
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Reported net retail buying indicates willingness by this investor subset to take equity risk despite a down session.

    Source limitations: One day and one market. Trading behavior is not a global opinion poll. Local publication timezone is inferred from the Korean outlet.

  • Polish investors turn to space and AI infrastructure while cutting software exposureIncluded in calculation

    CEO Magazine Poland · PolandRetail behavior evidence

    Citing eToro, CEO describes Polish users increasing holdings participation in space and AI infrastructure while reducing participation in several software names.

    Published
    7 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    30 Sept 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Selective portfolio rotation does not establish a change in overall equity appetite.

    Source limitations: Secondary report, one platform, completed Q 3 period. Holder counts are not net money flows. Source eToro dataset was not independently verified; publication time unavailable.

  • Bubble warnings are spiking. But bullish retail investors are buying the high.Included in calculation

    Yahoo Finance · United StatesRetail behavior evidence

    Retail clients resumed net buying in BofA's flow review even as professional bubble warnings increased.

    Published
    9 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    7 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Identified retail net buying suggests willingness to take equity risk.

    Source limitations: Official Yahoo Finance newsletter on LinkedIn; the Yahoo original was unavailable. The primary BofA note was not retrieved. One broker-client subset, mixing flows with bubble commentary; not a representative survey. October 7 refers to the cited note; the flow observation period is not disclosed in this report.

  • Most popular investments: What did private investors buy in September?Included in calculation

    MoneyWeek · United KingdomRetail behavior evidence

    September customers kept buying broad equity funds and selected dips while cash-like funds remained popular.

    Published
    7 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    30 Sept 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Equity purchases coexist with cash-fund demand; the ranking does not establish aggregate risk direction.

    Source limitations: The October 7 publication describes September. One-platform purchase rankings do not establish net flows or aggregate risk appetite. The interactive investor report was also checked; republications add no votes.

  • 東証投資部門別売買動向:9月第5週、外国人・現物は9559億円と4週ぶり買い越しIncluded in calculation

    MINKABU PRESS / Kabutan · JapanRetail behavior evidence

    Japanese individuals returned to net cash-equity buying in the week ended 2 October.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    2 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Identified retail net buying suggests willingness to take equity risk.

    Source limitations: October 8 reporting of exchange data concerns the week ended October 2. The primary exchange file was not retrieved. Japanese net buying is not stated sentiment or a US/Poland measurement.

YouTube titles

6

Video titles measure creators’ narratives, not viewers’ sentiment. Only the title is assessed, without claiming to have reviewed the video or transcript. Clickbait, limited channel coverage and editorial selection can bias this component.

  • Przez 4 lata GPW pokonała USA. Teraz role się odwrócąIncluded in calculation

    Piotr Cymcyk / Merytorycznie o Finansach · Poland / United StatesTitle only

    The title anticipates a reversal of GPW performance relative to the US.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: 0 · Mixed / neutralOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Mixed direction: the relative GPW/US comparison does not establish a broad-market direction.

    Source limitations: Date comes from the author article with the matching title and exact embedded video ID. The YouTube upload time was not independently verified. Only the title was coded; no video viewing or transcript scoring.

  • OpenAI znowu napędza rynek, a Micron ogłasza koniec cyklu! Co dokładam do portfela i czemu?Included in calculation

    Piotr Cymcyk / Merytorycznie o Finansach · Poland / United StatesTitle only

    The title frames AI as a market driver and signals additions to a portfolio.

    Published
    6 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    6 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Optimistic title framing: gains, records or stated purchases.

    Source limitations: Date comes from the author article with the matching title and exact embedded video ID. The YouTube upload time was not independently verified. Only the title was coded; no video viewing or transcript scoring.

  • Three Turn-Around Stocks I’m Buying TodayIncluded in calculation

    Joseph Carlson (main + After Hours) · United StatesTitle only

    The title states purchases of turnaround stocks.

    Published
    5 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    5 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Optimistic title framing: gains, records or stated purchases.

    Source limitations: Date comes from the creator podcast episode with the same title, linked to the video ID by an index. The YouTube upload time was not independently verified. Both Carlson channels form one creator group. Coding covers the title, not the full argument.

  • The AI Bubble Is PoppingIncluded in calculation

    Joseph Carlson (main + After Hours) · United StatesTitle only

    The title frames AI as a bubble that is popping.

    Published
    8 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    8 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: −1 · Cautious / risk reductionOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Cautious title framing: declines or a popping bubble.

    Source limitations: Date comes from the creator podcast episode with the same title, linked to the video ID by an index. The YouTube upload time was not independently verified. Both Carlson channels form one creator group. Coding covers the title, not the full argument.

  • S&P 500 Hits Record High as Big Tech LeadsIncluded in calculation

    Bloomberg Television · United StatesTitle only

    The title highlights an index record and large-technology leadership.

    Published
    6 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    6 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: +1 · Optimistic / risk takingOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Optimistic title framing: gains, records or stated purchases.

    Source limitations: Lower confidence: two indexes agree on title, channel, video ID and date, but may copy the same metadata. Publication time was not retrieved directly from YouTube. This is professional market coverage, not measured retail opinion; only the title was coded.

  • Stocks Retreat From Records as Oil & Yields Stay ElevatedIncluded in calculation

    Bloomberg Television · United StatesTitle only

    The title describes a retreat from records with elevated oil and yields.

    Published
    7 Oct 2026Exact publication time unavailable
    Event / observation date
    7 Oct 2026
    Last source review
    10 Oct 2026, 09:31
    Editorial coding: −1 · Cautious / risk reductionOpen original source
    Why this coding · Source limitations

    Why this coding: Cautious title framing: declines or a popping bubble.

    Source limitations: Lower confidence: two indexes agree on title, channel, video ID and date, but may copy the same metadata. Publication time was not retrieved directly from YouTube. This is professional market coverage, not measured retail opinion; only the title was coded.

Review scope and additional context

The review expanded to 7 communities/forums (r/stocks, r/wallstreetbets, r/StockMarket, r/investing, Bankier, Stockwatch and Wykop), press in 5 languages (English, Polish, German, French and Japanese), and 21 YouTube channels. After verification and deduplication, the scored samples comprise 2 surveys, 20 statements, 5 articles and 6 titles. Other credible, older or non-comparable measures appear separately as context. Search breadth does not establish representativeness. Inaccessible pages, missing dates and article headlines alone do not become neutral observations. Video-title coding describes headline framing, not the whole video; dates refer to corroborating publication evidence, not independently verified YouTube upload times.

These sources inform context but do not enter the headline calculation.

  • Reuters

    Reuters · United StatesPublished: 9 Oct 2026, 12:54

    Reuters: US equity funds lost a net USD 5.11 bn in the week to October 7.

    Unscored: general market commentary or mixed-investor flows do not isolate retail sentiment. Mixed investor categories; these are not exclusively retail flows.

    Open original source
  • Wall Street Flash — 9 października 2026

    DM BOŚ / Bossa · PolandPublished: 9 Oct 2026, 14:29

    DM BOŚ describes modest US futures gains and a European equity rebound as oil eases, alongside persistent sector-specific pressure.

    Unscored: general market commentary or mixed-investor flows do not isolate retail sentiment. Analyst commentary on the broad market and futures, not measured retail opinions or trades. Local publication timezone inferred from the Polish outlet.

    Open original source
  • Biuletyn poranny BM BNP Paribas — 9 października 2026

    Biuro Maklerskie BNP Paribas Bank Polska · PolandPublished: 9 Oct 2026, 08:18

    BM BNP Paribas' morning bulletin describes Warsaw index declines and oil-driven inflation and bond-market concerns.

    Unscored: general market commentary or mixed-investor flows do not isolate retail sentiment. Broker narrative about the prior session, not a retail poll. Local publication timezone inferred from the Polish outlet.

    Open original source
  • Schwab · October outlook and September STAX

    Charles Schwab · United StatesPublished: 5 Oct 2026

    October survey of more than 450 clients: 17% bullish and 50% bearish; the neutral share was not disclosed. September STAX rose to 58.92 from 57.50.

    Unscored context. The missing neutral share is not inferred as 33%. STAX measures client portfolio behavior on a scale different from our 0–100 composite. One broker and differing observation periods.

    Open original source
  • AAII · September asset allocation

    AAII · United StatesPublished: 1 Oct 2026

    September AAII participant allocation: equities and equity funds 71.79%, bonds 14.87%, cash 13.35%.

    Unscored context: portfolio allocation is not a poll of expected market direction. Rounded shares total 100.01%; this is not another sentiment survey.

    Open original source
  • eToro · Retail Investor Beat Q3 2026

    eToro · 13 countriesPublished: 30 Sept 2026

    Survey of 11,000 investors in 13 countries, conducted August 13–28: 44% expected AI-related stock prices to rise and 18% expected them to fall.

    Unscored context: older fieldwork and a question about AI-related stocks rather than broad equities. Sector expectations are not converted into a current global bullish share.

    Open original source
  • A$K Lauren: How will huge IPOs influence my money?

    Reuters · United StatesPublished: 6 Oct 2026, 15:40

    Advisers report IPO interest and FOMO, alongside growing selectivity and valuation concerns.

    October 6 publication lies outside the 72-hour window. Adviser views and IPO anecdotes are not a representative poll.

    Open original source
  • Is there hope for Indian equities?

    Reuters · IndiaPublished: 6 Oct 2026, 07:30

    An analyst describes retail apathy after India's losses, while discussing possible value opportunities.

    October 6 publication lies outside the 72-hour window. An analyst view of India is not a new global opinion measure.

    Open original source
  • ETFs: After the tech rally, investors are cashing out

    Deutsche Boerse · GermanyPublished: 6 Oct 2026

    Dealer observations combine tech profit-taking with persistent overall ETF buying and retail demand for global funds.

    October 6 publication lies outside the 72-hour window. Dealer observations and client behavior do not measure the entire investor population.

    Open original source

Calculation and methodology

Method version 2 adds YouTube and changes component weights; readings are not directly comparable to version 1.

  1. Surveys: 100 × (bullish + 0.5 × neutral) / (bullish + neutral + bearish). Rounded percentages are normalized. Eligible surveys receive equal weight, regardless of an undisclosed sample size.
  2. Forums: opinions are paraphrased and author-coded as −1, 0 or +1. The score is 50 + 50 × the mean across distinct contributors. Repeated contributions by the same author count once; at least five distinct contributors are required.
  3. Press: author-coded tone is averaged within each publisher, then across publishers and mapped to 50 + 50 × mean. Repeated stories and events are deduplicated; at least three publishers are required. General market reports remain an indirect proxy.
  4. YouTube: the author codes each title −1, 0 or +1, averages within each channel, then equally across channels, and converts the result using 50 + 50 × mean. Reposted titles are deduplicated. At least five dated titles from three distinct channels are required.
  5. Planned weights: surveys 50%, forums 25%, press 15%, YouTube 10%. If a component is unavailable, remaining weights are rescaled; at least one eligible survey is required. The headline rounds only the final result to a whole index point.
  6. Surveys expire after 14 days; forum posts and press after 72 hours; YouTube titles after seven days. Publication and event dates are shown separately, preserving the precision actually verified. A source review older than 48 hours is flagged. Missing exact times are disclosed, never inferred from a thread date or assigned an invented hour.
  7. Coverage is limited if any component, including YouTube, is unavailable; if fewer than two surveys, two forum communities or three press publishers are available; or if survey sample sizes are unknown or observations delayed. YouTube requires at least five dated titles from three channels. This flag describes source quality, not a statistical confidence interval.
Sources reviewed but excluded (56)
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P/E<12×12–<18×18–<23×≥23×No P/E

Markets with valuations: 47. Added countries use the named MSCI large- and mid-cap index. Existing headline indices retain their own identities. Macroeconomic figures are 2026 forecasts from the April 2026 WEO edition.

Market overview

Indices, funds, commodities, currencies, crypto and bonds. Choose a category to compare changes across periods.

Stock indices30

PR excludes cash dividends. TR includes reinvested dividends under the index methodology; these results are not directly comparable.

Stock indices · All periods · %
InstrumentSessionLatest level1 day1 week1 month1 year3 years5 years10 yearsFull history*Since launch
PR7,783.3USD+0.23%+0.74%+1.60%+15.13%+79.35%+76.63%+259.64%+172,862.22%—
PR27,268.35USD+0.28%+0.19%+3.58%+18.32%+101.90%+85.57%+413.05%+27,168.35%+27,168.35%
PR30,785.6USD+0.19%-0.27%+4.60%+22.53%+104.23%+106.03%+530.34%+24,528.48%—
ETFs8

ETF share-price changes in USD using the provider series. These are not independently verified distribution-reinvested total returns. TLT and HYG show bond-fund prices, not their yields.

ETFs · All periods · %
InstrumentSessionLatest level1 day1 week1 month1 year3 years5 years10 yearsFull history*
775.67USD+0.22%+0.66%+1.52%+15.16%+79.16%+76.50%+258.94%+1,664.14%
748.92USD+0.18%-0.32%+4.54%+22.48%+104.12%+105.70%+530.09%+1,364.88%
277.79USD+0.08%-1.61%-5.34%+12.78%+59.37%+24.35%+123.95%+510.11%
160.43USD+0.40%+0.18%-0.23%+14.61%+72.06%+57.58%+172.15%+220.22%
66.75USD+0.98%-1.26%-2.78%+22.43%+76.12%+31.50%+76.07%+500.04%
77.68USD-0.24%-0.33%-5.49%-12.89%-9.52%-45.39%-42.00%-6.04%
77.11USD-0.04%-0.14%-2.50%-4.38%+5.57%-11.37%-11.36%-26.10%
384.14USD+1.46%-0.08%-5.41%+2.95%+123.23%+130.96%+218.81%+764.58%
Precious metals4

Continuous front-month futures (1!), not spot prices. Contract rolls and adjustments affect long histories; these changes are not the return from holding a futures investment.

Precious metals · All periods · %
InstrumentSessionLatest level1 day1 week1 month1 year3 years5 years10 yearsFull history*
4,217.3USD / oz t+1.45%+0.30%-4.13%+3.83%+124.87%+140.03%+235.56%+124.84%
61.28USD / oz t+3.12%-0.13%-7.77%+26.48%+178.17%+171.03%+253.30%+159.72%
1,705.2USD / oz t+3.85%-1.71%-6.57%+0.94%+90.87%+74.04%+75.99%+56.25%
1,156.5USD / oz t+2.76%-2.61%-15.03%-21.94%+1.45%-40.86%+72.65%-36.26%
Other commodities16

Continuous front-month futures (1!), not spot prices. Contract rolls and adjustments affect long histories; these changes are not the return from holding a futures investment.

Other commodities · All periods · %
InstrumentSessionLatest level1 day1 week1 month1 year3 years5 years10 yearsFull history*
6.705USD / lb+2.07%+1.97%-1.06%+31.97%+83.38%+57.77%+211.19%+70.88%
91.45USD / bbl-0.04%-2.15%-3.03%+46.77%+5.81%+15.97%+80.77%+24.47%
103.96USD / bbl-0.31%+1.45%+4.49%+57.95%+17.91%+26.20%+97.19%+9.82%
3.205USD / MMBtu+1.17%+8.53%+10.25%-3.93%-4.92%-44.37%+5.67%-7.10%
500.75US ¢ / bu+0.10%-0.15%-5.96%+18.66%+2.61%-6.09%+46.96%-26.01%
684US ¢ / bu+0.11%+0.33%-8.53%+34.65%+19.22%-7.47%+71.97%-7.44%
1,295.5US ¢ / bu+0.62%+0.97%-1.63%+25.90%+2.57%+3.93%+35.12%-13.63%
289.1US ¢ / lb+0.02%-0.48%+0.36%-25.01%+98.42%+44.37%+97.68%+26.80%
20.28US ¢ / lb+0.65%+7.13%+11.80%+24.19%-25.36%+1.96%-11.90%+3.63%
5,653USD / t-0.21%+2.97%-4.40%-5.50%+64.14%+106.54%+103.86%-42.02%
81.05US ¢ / lb+1.39%+4.26%-6.32%+24.85%-6.95%-27.38%+19.77%-2.46%
439.75US ¢ / bu+1.38%+7.00%+17.19%+52.96%+4.70%-29.50%+133.91%+20.31%
16.93USD / cwt (100 lb)+0.47%+3.01%+6.14%+57.71%+7.08%+22.37%+68.37%-6.23%
4.7634USD / US gal-2.45%+2.55%+3.09%+107.95%+59.85%+92.93%+197.73%+58.49%
3.2826USD / US gal-1.01%-3.63%-0.30%+72.36%+46.61%+39.99%+118.26%+33.61%
224.03US ¢ / lb+0.21%+0.30%+3.36%-6.18%+20.64%+72.00%+119.15%+42.96%
Major currency pairs29

The rate is quote-currency units per 1 base-currency unit. A positive change means the first currency strengthened against the second.

Major currency pairs · All periods · %
InstrumentSessionLatest level1 day1 week1 month1 year3 years5 years10 yearsFull history*
FX1.11926USD / 1 EUR-0.17%-0.41%-3.70%-3.75%+5.93%-3.12%+0.40%+108.51%
FX158.354JPY / 1 USD+0.35%+0.18%+2.92%+3.74%+6.64%+41.88%+52.31%-55.73%
FX1.3223USD / 1 GBP-0.05%+0.26%-2.29%-1.34%+8.05%-2.86%+4.83%-44.76%
FX0.8314CHF / 1 USD+0.05%+0.12%+2.77%+3.82%-8.22%-10.45%-15.23%-80.75%
FX0.69721USD / 1 AUD+0.21%+0.67%-3.39%+5.89%+8.78%-4.64%-8.06%-37.34%
FX1.42808CAD / 1 USD+0.40%+0.44%+3.61%+2.37%+5.10%+13.79%+8.07%+41.27%
FX0.56027USD / 1 NZD+0.06%-0.04%-4.25%-3.11%-6.90%-19.14%-21.82%-49.70%
FX0.84635GBP / 1 EUR-0.11%-0.60%-1.43%-2.44%-1.93%-0.26%-4.23%+50.89%
FX177.248JPY / 1 EUR+0.23%-0.22%-0.91%-0.16%+12.96%+37.46%+52.89%-7.70%
FX3.9195PLN / 1 USD+0.52%+0.76%+5.78%+7.18%-9.18%-1.20%+2.16%+128.77%
FX4.38845PLN / 1 EUR+0.30%+0.32%+1.85%+3.20%-3.74%-4.29%+2.61%+115.61%
FX4.7155PLN / 1 CHF+0.55%+0.80%+3.04%+3.42%-1.04%+10.43%+20.56%+68.78%
FX5.184PLN / 1 GBP+0.55%+1.09%+3.44%+5.96%-1.62%-3.89%+7.11%-12.73%
FX110.404JPY / 1 AUD+0.58%+0.81%-0.57%+9.90%+15.97%+35.29%+40.03%-58.34%
FX209.415JPY / 1 GBP+0.38%+0.46%+0.57%+2.38%+15.22%+37.85%+59.63%-70.19%
FX0.93056CHF / 1 EUR-0.15%-0.34%-1.10%-0.14%-2.82%-13.26%-14.89%-60.77%
FX1.60529AUD / 1 EUR-0.29%-1.01%-0.27%-9.07%-2.59%+1.63%+9.23%+20.24%
FX1.5984CAD / 1 EUR+0.25%+0.03%-0.22%-1.44%+11.32%+10.24%+8.51%-9.31%
FX10.00614SEK / 1 USD+0.38%-0.35%+4.55%+6.22%-8.69%+13.96%+16.01%+93.81%
FX9.58219NOK / 1 USD+0.39%-0.32%+3.96%-3.90%-11.10%+11.86%+19.02%+34.28%
FX6.6915CNY / 1 USD-0.16%-0.19%-0.28%-6.00%-8.22%+3.82%+0.34%+336.18%
FX96.72INR / 1 USD-0.06%+0.43%+2.02%+9.02%+16.16%+29.30%+45.07%+1,105.99%
FX1.28109SGD / 1 USD+0.12%+0.13%+1.29%-1.04%-6.18%-5.66%-6.64%-38.79%
FX7.8471HKD / 1 USD0.00%+0.01%+0.08%+0.84%+0.24%+0.81%+1.16%+67.76%
FX18.273MXN / 1 USD+0.65%-0.19%+8.07%-0.19%+0.48%-11.53%-4.90%+595.58%
FX4.9901BRL / 1 USD-0.53%-4.53%-1.88%-6.46%-2.82%-9.57%+54.59%+4,990,000.00%
FX16.53856ZAR / 1 USD-0.38%-0.94%+3.42%-3.63%-14.34%+10.79%+19.30%+2,200.86%
FX21.7733CZK / 1 USD+0.36%+0.19%+4.71%+4.04%-5.84%-0.69%-10.16%-21.36%
FX326.62HUF / 1 USD+0.33%-0.40%+4.59%-2.87%-11.21%+5.20%+19.83%+66.43%
Cryptocurrencies6

Coinbase spot pairs in USD. The daily session starts at 00:00 UTC; daily change uses the previous close, not a rolling 24 hours. History depends on the exchange listing date and may contain gaps; staking income is excluded.

Cryptocurrencies · All periods · %
InstrumentSessionLatest level1 day1 week1 month1 year3 years5 years10 yearsFull history*
82,641.71USD / 1 BTC+1.16%-2.60%+5.34%-33.00%+199.46%+53.14%+13,240.93%—
2,483.83USD / 1 ETH+0.47%-8.19%-0.05%-45.13%+57.19%-30.31%+20,225.94%—
109.72USD / 1 SOL+0.21%-7.30%+6.14%-52.11%+396.25%-30.93%——
1.38USD / 1 XRP+0.08%-7.59%-2.62%-52.07%+174.41%+55.09%——
0.08445USD / 1 DOGE+0.60%-10.43%-6.21%-66.97%+43.72%-65.40%——
12.76USD / 1 LINK+0.52%-11.25%+1.92%-43.63%+75.35%-51.65%——
Government bond yields13

Market benchmark government-bond yields, not coupon rates or an official par curve. Levels are %, changes are bp: 1 bp = 0.01 percentage point. Rising yields usually mean falling bond prices. A 10Y symbol denotes the roughly ten-year segment, not a specific issue’s maturity date.

Government bond yields · All periods · bp
InstrumentSessionYield1 daybp1 weekbp1 monthbp1 yearbp3 yearsbp5 yearsbp10 yearsbp
4.806% · USD+4.4 bp+1.1 bp+41 bp+122.8 bp-12.59 bp+449.9 bp+396.4 bp
5.035% · USD+4.3 bp+2.3 bp+47 bp+132.7 bp+46 bp+400.1 bp+378.7 bp
5.267% · USD+3.2 bp+2.4 bp+47.9 bp+115.4 bp+63.7 bp+369.4 bp+353.38 bp
5.629% · USD+2.2 bp+1.4 bp+38.5 bp+92.8 bp+81.1 bp+349.7 bp+320.1 bp
3.484% · EUR+2.56 bp+2.25 bp+11.45 bp+80.11 bp+71.51 bp——
5.451% · GBP+2.48 bp+7.51 bp+26.04 bp+73.43 bp+96.23 bp+434.63 bp+460.43 bp
4.869% · EUR+4.9 bp-7.81 bp+62.7 bp+135.67 bp+151.49 bp+469.49 bp+457.17 bp
4.59% · EUR+0.06 bp-11.77 bp+37.64 bp+108.15 bp-28.66 bp+372.32 bp+323.63 bp
4.105% · EUR-2.78 bp-5.87 bp+29.91 bp+87.93 bp+19.13 bp+363.23 bp+308.01 bp
3.033% · JPY-5.7 bp-1.7 bp+14.5 bp+134.2 bp+225.6 bp+295.5 bp—
6.298% · PLN-4.3 bp+1.6 bp+13.4 bp+79.3 bp+28.9 bp+384.5 bp+354.52 bp
3.91% · CAD-2.2 bp-0.1 bp+8.5 bp+71.7 bp-15.7 bp+231.3 bp+274 bp
5.36% · AUD+0.3 bp-0.8 bp+16.4 bp+101.1 bp+94.2 bp+374 bp+322.86 bp
Since launch · 5
Data dates and sources · † 1

* Full history means the provider’s available series, which may include backtests or historical reconstructions. It does not certify an index’s launch date. Separate verified since-launch results appear below, with their starting dates and sources.

† S&P/ASX 200 — Previous quote retained. Session: 29 Sept 2026; Retrieved: 29 Sept 2026, 14:07 UTC.

Retrieved: · TradingView

How to read the data

1 day compares with the previous close. Rolling weeks, months and years use the provider’s historical anchor-bar open. 1 year means the last 12 months, not YTD; multiyear changes are cumulative, not annualized.

Session and retrieval are separate dates. Quotes can be delayed; — means missing verified data and never zero. Retained quotes keep their original dates.

Continuous front-month futures (1!), not spot prices. Contract rolls and adjustments affect long histories; these changes are not the return from holding a futures investment.

Day: absolute change from the previous close × 100. Other periods: difference from the provider’s historical opening yield, converted to bp only with an unambiguous positive anchor. Missing or ambiguous anchors stay blank. This is not a bond investment return; since-launch changes are not shown.

oz t = troy ounce · bbl = barrel · lb = pound · bu = bushel · US ¢ = US cent · MMBtu = million British thermal units · t = metric tonne

Market commentary

All commentaries
🇺🇸 United States · Country news and economy
02 / COUNTRY INTELLIGENCE

🇺🇸 United States, in context

Compare markets · 47
03 / GLOBAL COMPARISON

Valuation board

Select a market for details. The two views keep valuations separate from debt and gold holdings.

Markets shown: 47 / 47
# / MarketBenchmarkBenchmark P/EForward P/EMSCIDiv. yieldMSCIGross debt / GDPNet debt / GDPCB gold2026 YTDSignal

Returns use local index currencies. Currency effects and dividend treatment affect comparisons; index levels cannot measure how expensive a market is.

04 / RESEARCH NOTE

Valuation and debt ratios are a starting point, not a verdict. Index composition, payout policy, fiscal assets and accounting conventions can make similar headline values mean very different things.

How to read the data & sources
VALUATION

Headline P/E refers to the named local index; forward P/E and dividend yield refer to the named MSCI country index. Dates and earnings definitions differ. Compare identical baskets and methods.

MACRO, DEBT & GOLD

GDP growth, inflation, unemployment and gross debt are 2026 IMF forecasts. Policy rates and gold holdings have separate observation dates and sources beside each value.

POLITICS

English-language Google News RSS search refreshed when a country is selected. Headlines are third-party reporting, not verified facts.

USE

For research and education only. A low or high P/E is not, by itself, an investment recommendation.

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